The Tell: Fed will be key to preventing yield curve’s recession prophesy from coming true: investor

As we explained two weekends ago, it's not the Fed tightening - and curve flattening - that is the recession catalyst: it is when the Fed begins cutting rates, sending the yield curve s.....»»

Watch the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officers’ Survey as well as the yield curve and jobless claims......»»

Watch the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officers’ Survey as well as the yield curve and jobless claims......»»

Watch the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officers’ Survey as well as the yield curve and jobless claims......»»

Some Fed officials are saying that it wouldn’t matter if the yield curve inverts, but Caroline Baum says it would mean a recession is coming......»»

The long-end of the Treasury yield curve is blowing out today: whether due to technicals, now that the 3% level has been breached, or amid expectations that (even more) Chinese stimulus in the coming weeks  -arguably to offset the $200BN in tariffs sla.....»»

A narrowing gap between long-term and short-term borrowing costs does not necessarily signal a coming recession, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said on Friday......»»

AP Images .....»»

Pundits and headlines warn of impending doom from the 'yield curve' flattening. But its impact on folks won’t work like those yahoos predict. How and when might it affect you?      .....»»

A reliable bond market indicator may be waving the flag that a U.S. recession is coming, market watchers said, and it is not the flattening yield curve......»»

Using The Yield Curve As A Recession Indicator.....»»

A widely wat.....»»

Reading through the Fed's latest Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS), revealed absolutely nothing to be concerned about when it comes to loan demand and loan standards (aside from a warning that a yield curve inve.....»»

Yield Curve Inversion And Investor Pessimism Likely To Crash S&P Deep Below 2,600.....»»

The onset of a U.S. r.....»»

A yield curve inversion could prompt banks to cut bank on lending, throwing the economy into a recession.....»»

Treasury market moves are sending a menacing signal about the economic outlook. An inverted curve is often interpreted as a signal of a looming recession......»»

Part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve "inverted" this week, setting off debate over whether it is delivering a classic signal of oncoming recession or it has just developed a short-term kink that can be explained away by technical reasons......»»

The yield curve turned its dreaded inverse. Here’s what long-term investors should know, regardless of what the market does in the next few months......»»

Worries about U.S. bond markets signalling an impending recession and a still rumbling trade war between the world's two biggest economies sent European shares sinking further on Wednesday after a 3 percent drop on Wall Street. Francis Maguire reports......»»