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The Tell: Fed will be key to preventing yield curve’s recession prophesy from coming true: investor

The Fed holds the key to preventing a yield curve inversion from turning into a recession.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchJul 12th, 2018

Caroline Baum: Fed officials are playing with fire if they deliberately invert the yield curve

Some Fed officials are saying that it wouldn’t matter if the yield curve inverts, but Caroline Baum says it would mean a recession is coming......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchSep 18th, 2018

The Last Time Bonds Were This Attractive Vs Stocks, The Recession Started

The long-end of the Treasury yield curve is blowing out today: whether due to technicals, now that the 3% level has been breached, or amid expectations that (even more) Chinese stimulus in the coming weeks  -arguably to offset the $200BN in tariffs sla.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeSep 18th, 2018

Fed"s Evans says premature to read much into yield curve

A narrowing gap between long-term and short-term borrowing costs does not necessarily signal a coming recession, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said on Friday......»»

Category: topSource: reutersSep 14th, 2018

An inverted yield curve might not mean a recession is coming

AP Images .....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderJul 29th, 2018

The yield curve is flattening. Does that mean a recession is coming?

Pundits and headlines warn of impending doom from the 'yield curve' flattening. But its impact on folks won’t work like those yahoos predict. How and when might it affect you?      .....»»

Category: topSource: usatodayJul 22nd, 2018

US credit market sends another warning about recession

A reliable bond market indicator may be waving the flag that a U.S. recession is coming, market watchers said, and it is not the flattening yield curve......»»

Category: topSource: moneycentralJul 16th, 2018

Fed Chairman Addresses Concerns About Flattening Yield Curve

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played down concerns that bond markets were signaling rising odds of a recession and reiterated his positive assessment of the U.S. economy......»»

Category: smallbizSource: wsjSep 28th, 2018

Fed"s Powell between a rock and hard place: Ignore the yield curve or tight job market?

Unemployment near a 20-year low screams at the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates or risk a too-hot economy. The bond market, not far from a state that typically precedes a recession, says not so fast......»»

Category: topSource: reutersSep 21st, 2018

Flat Yield Curve = Recession? Not So Fast

Flat Yield Curve = Recession? Not So Fast.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaSep 18th, 2018

What Credit/Yield-Based Models Suggest About The Odds Of A Recession Coming Soon?

What Credit/Yield-Based Models Suggest About The Odds Of A Recession Coming Soon?.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaSep 13th, 2018

Concerns About The Flattening Yield Curve Spread Are Premature; Key Economic Indicators Are Well Above Their Recession Thresholds

Concerns About The Flattening Yield Curve Spread Are Premature; Key Economic Indicators Are Well Above Their Recession Thresholds.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaSep 7th, 2018

A trusty recession signal is telling the Fed "we"re about where we need to be" on interest rates

The flat yield curve sugges.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderSep 6th, 2018

Will the Flattening Yield Curve Lead to Recession?

A confessed bond-yield curve obsessive teases out what it means when the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the two-year Treasury note narrows......»»

Category: topSource: barronsSep 2nd, 2018

Forget the yield curve — there"s a different flattening trend in the market that should make investors nervous

Reuters/Brendan McDermid The flattening Treasury yield curve is getting a lot of attention as a potential recession indicator. But there’s another flatte.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderAug 28th, 2018

Yield Curve Suggests Rising, But Still Low, Risk Of Recession, San Francisco Fed Says - Wall Street Journal

Wall Street JournalYield Curve Suggests Rising, But Still Low, Risk Of Recession, San Francisco Fed SaysWall Street JournalThe bond market is signaling that the risk of recession is rising but a downturn is far from imminent, n.....»»

Category: topSource: googlenewsAug 27th, 2018

SF Fed: Yield Curve Suggests Rising, But Still Low, Risk Of Recession

The bond market is signaling that the risk of recession is rising but a downturn is far from imminent, new research by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco released Monday said......»»

Category: smallbizSource: wsjAug 27th, 2018

Inverted U.S. Yield Curve? Recession? Not So Fast

Inverted U.S. Yield Curve? Recession? Not So Fast.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaAug 15th, 2018

We"re far from recession, says Fiduciary Trust"s Carin Pai

Earnings are delivering as expected, tax cuts benefits far outweigh trade war fears, and an inverted yield curve is not always a sign of an upcoming recession, says Carin Pai, executive vice president at Fiduciary Trust. Aleksandra Michalska reports......»»

Category: videoSource: reutersAug 9th, 2018

U.S. Yield Curve And Recession Risk - Watch The Shape Not The Slope

U.S. Yield Curve And Recession Risk - Watch The Shape Not The Slope.....»»

Category: topSource: seekingalphaAug 9th, 2018

What people get wrong about the market"s favorite recession signal, according to a Wall Street strategist

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted. Kelly calls the i.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderAug 2nd, 2018