The Tell: Fed will be key to preventing yield curve’s recession prophesy from coming true: investor

Some Fed officials are saying that it wouldn’t matter if the yield curve inverts, but Caroline Baum says it would mean a recession is coming......»»

The long-end of the Treasury yield curve is blowing out today: whether due to technicals, now that the 3% level has been breached, or amid expectations that (even more) Chinese stimulus in the coming weeks  -arguably to offset the $200BN in tariffs sla.....»»

A narrowing gap between long-term and short-term borrowing costs does not necessarily signal a coming recession, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said on Friday......»»

AP Images .....»»

Pundits and headlines warn of impending doom from the 'yield curve' flattening. But its impact on folks won’t work like those yahoos predict. How and when might it affect you?      .....»»

A reliable bond market indicator may be waving the flag that a U.S. recession is coming, market watchers said, and it is not the flattening yield curve......»»

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played down concerns that bond markets were signaling rising odds of a recession and reiterated his positive assessment of the U.S. economy......»»

Unemployment near a 20-year low screams at the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates or risk a too-hot economy. The bond market, not far from a state that typically precedes a recession, says not so fast......»»

Flat Yield Curve = Recession? Not So Fast.....»»

What Credit/Yield-Based Models Suggest About The Odds Of A Recession Coming Soon?.....»»

Concerns About The Flattening Yield Curve Spread Are Premature; Key Economic Indicators Are Well Above Their Recession Thresholds.....»»

The flat yield curve sugges.....»»

A confessed bond-yield curve obsessive teases out what it means when the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the two-year Treasury note narrows......»»

Reuters/Brendan McDermid The flattening Treasury yield curve is getting a lot of attention as a potential recession indicator. But there’s another flatte.....»»

Wall Street JournalYield Curve Suggests Rising, But Still Low, Risk Of Recession, San Francisco Fed SaysWall Street JournalThe bond market is signaling that the risk of recession is rising but a downturn is far from imminent, n.....»»

The bond market is signaling that the risk of recession is rising but a downturn is far from imminent, new research by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco released Monday said......»»

Inverted U.S. Yield Curve? Recession? Not So Fast.....»»

Earnings are delivering as expected, tax cuts benefits far outweigh trade war fears, and an inverted yield curve is not always a sign of an upcoming recession, says Carin Pai, executive vice president at Fiduciary Trust. Aleksandra Michalska reports......»»

U.S. Yield Curve And Recession Risk - Watch The Shape Not The Slope.....»»

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted. Kelly calls the i.....»»