Why the yield curve may invert even if the Fed sees inflation pick up

The so-called yield curve has steadily flattened ami.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchNov 14th, 2017

Driver Of Higher Rates – Good And Bad Inflation

The 5-year Treasury yield hit 2% this morning. It’s not much, but relatively the short to middle of the curve is starting to look more interesting. As I wrote in “Patience – A Possible Win Win”, I believe “…as long [….....»»

Category: blogSource: valuewalkOct 22nd, 2017

Market Extra: Here’s how the Fed is flattening the yield curve

Traders betting on the yield curve to steepen are looking into a two-barreled shotgun – a Federal Reserve intent on raising rates and lackluster inflation that should justify less aggressive monetary tightening......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchOct 18th, 2017

FOMC Minutes Show Schizophrenic Fed Fears Low Inflation Is Here To Stay But Push For Another Rate Hike In 2017

The yield curve has.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeOct 11th, 2017

VIXtermination Sparks Buying-Panic In Stocks As Yield Curve Crashes To 10 Year Lows

A chaotic week in some markets... But only FX sees through the bullshit...   It was a week of superlatives... Trump's best week of the year...   The Dollar Index just completed its best 2-week rally since December... &n.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeSep 22nd, 2017

Bond Report: Treasury yields see gains as corporate supply weighs on market

The Treasury yield curve steepens ahead of jobs opening data could provide further signs of a tightening labor market, which economists hope will stimulate wages and inflation and add support for monetary tightening this year......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 8th, 2017

Bond Report: Treasury yields steady ahead of job openings data

The Treasury yield curve steepens ahead of jobs opening data could provide further signs of a tightening labor market, which economists hope will stimulate wages and inflation and add support for monetary tightening this year......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchAug 8th, 2017

A flatter yield curve means the market isn"t worried about inflation — but if you are, TIPS look modestly cheap

Business InsiderThe yield curve has been flattening steadily over the past six months. The yield on the ten-year bond is only about 80 bps more than the two-year. This is expected as the Fed has been raising the short end of the curve and the mark.....»»

Category: topSource: businessinsiderJun 23rd, 2017

TREASURIES-Yield curve near almost 10-year lows on inflation concerns - Reuters

ReutersTREASURIES-Yield curve near almost 10-year lows on inflation concernsReuters(Adds Fed speakers; Updates prices) * Yield curve holds near flattest levels.....»»

Category: topSource: googlenewsJun 23rd, 2017

U.S Long Bonds Outperform on Inflation Concerns

The U.S. Treasury yield curve held near 10-year lows on Wednesday as inve.....»»

Category: topSource: marketpulseJun 21st, 2017

Flat Yield Curve Could Lead to Stocks Weakening

As the Fed tightens, markets signal sluggish growth and stable inflation but possible trouble for equities......»»

Category: topSource: barronsJun 15th, 2017

Deutsche Bank sees low chance of U.S. recession in next 12 months

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Chances are remote the U.S. economy will fall into a recession in the next 12 months despite a recent flattening of the U.S. yield curve suggesting growing recession risk, Deutsche Bank's economists said on Monday......»»

Category: topSource: reutersJun 12th, 2017

A Look at the Silver/Gold Ratio, Inflation/Deflation and the Yield Curve

An email from a reader (of the eLetter, I think) calling me out .....»»

Category: blogSource: slopeofhopeMay 12th, 2017

Market Extra: Even as stocks climb, bonds haven’t priced in global growth and inflation

Despite improving global growth, the yield curve has not steepened as mixed U.S. economic data and geopolitical concerns weigh on long-dated Treasurys.....»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchMay 4th, 2017

Haruhiko Kuroda defends BoJ"s yield curve control

Kuroda shrugged off criticism made by some academics that his 2% inflation target was too ambitious.....»»

Category: topSource: business-standardDec 26th, 2016

Dip-Buyers Bid Banks & Long Bonds But Batter Barbarous Relics

The unseen message...   Two words: "Policy Error"? The yield curve is not supposed to collapse when The Fed is pitching higher rates, growthier growth, and fiscal stimulus hype!!   And inflation expectations have gone nowhere since the initial.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeDec 15th, 2016

Banks Shrug As US Treasury Yield Curve Crashes To 6-Week Lows

If everything is so awesome, with a growth/inflation miracle just around the corner, then why is the US treasury yield curve collapsing in a dismal-growth-outlook-implying manner? Followingthe kneejerk spike on the election, 5s30s have crashed to 6 week l.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeNov 22nd, 2016

Bond Report: Yield on 10-year Treasury note sees largest 2-week rise since 2001

Treasury yields finished Friday at their highest levels since December, driven by brightening inflation expectations and the market’s near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchNov 18th, 2016

One Hedge Fund"s "Magic Formula" For Boosting Inflation Involves A Trump Victory

With central bankers desperate to boost inflation both in their country, and around the globe, yet failing to do so for years (especially as measured by the long end of the yield curve) leading to serious economists and pundits going so far as proposing t.....»»

Category: blogSource: zerohedgeNov 6th, 2016

The Current Message of Yield Curves: Inflation or Deflation?

With the state of post-Op/Twist systemic dysfunction, there are no absolutes, but… Generally, a rising yield curve (after years of Goldilocks and her favored declining curve) would signal changes in financial markets.  But it is not as simple as statin.....»»

Category: blogSource: slopeofhopeOct 25th, 2016

Bond Report: Treasury yield curve hits widest level in a month after CPI

Investors favored short-term notes on Tuesday, pushing the yield curve to its widest point since mid-September, as new inflation data marginally reduced expectations for an interest-rate hike in December......»»

Category: topSource: marketwatchOct 18th, 2016